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How many copies did Neon Arena sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 273–443
$74–$200 after Steam's cut $135–$307 before Steam's cut
from 11 reviews (Mostly Negative)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Neon Arena and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Neon Arena's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 6k–13k
best case 406k (Pixel Strike 3D)
Games like Neon Arena

A typical game among these

≈ 6k–13k copies

≈ $20k–$36k after Steam's cut

from ~252 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Pixel Strike 3D at ≈ 310k–503k copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 232 reviews in their first month; the range was 9 to 8k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Shooter (5 of 8) and Battle Royale (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Battle Royale + Top-Down Shooter.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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12x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
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Battle RoyaleTop-Down Shooter
Watchers
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2.3x vs typical
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Zombie Shooter: Ares Virus
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≈ 5k–7k
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$6k–$17k after Steam's cut $11k–$26k before Steam's cut
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ZombiesShooter
Pixel Strike 3D
2020
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50x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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12k reviews
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Big Fat Battle
2023
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≈ 3k–6k
SteamSpy under 20k
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Soul Saber 2
2017
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$24k–$64k after Steam's cut $43k–$99k before Steam's cut
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252 reviews
Mixed
NuditySexual Content
King of Crabs
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≈ 226k–367k
36x vs typical
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ExplorationPvE
The Misfits
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≈ 10k–16k
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Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.