How much revenue did Thrive make?

$58k–$156k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Thrive sell?

Q: How many copies did Thrive sell?

42k to 69k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 42k–69k; $58k–$156k after Steam's cut $106k–$240k before the cut; from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Thrive out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Thrive's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.3M–1.9M

best case 8.8M (Kerbal Space Program)

The Sandbox genre

All 8 of your similar games are hits. A big, proven genre for a game like yours.

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

A typical game

≈ 1.3M–1.9M copies

≈ $14.6M–$23.9M after Steam's cut

from ~41k reviews

Best case

≈ 6.7M–10.9M copies

Kerbal Space Program · ≈ $73.8M–$198.5M after Steam's cut

A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on Sandbox (5 of 8) and Simulation (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Space + Simulation, priced around $40. The breakout hits carry Space Sim + Moddable + Physics; a typical game here doesn't.
The era: The games you compared span 2008 to 2026, a genre with a long track record.

Copies and revenue are rough lifetime estimates from the review count.

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Besiege 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1.4M–2.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $5.8M–$15.5M after Steam's cut $10.5M–$23.9M before the cut	$14.99	53k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SimulationSandbox
Universe Sandbox 2015	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.4M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $12.1M–$32.7M after Steam's cut $22.1M–$50.3M before the cut	$29.99	32k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SandboxSpace
Kerbal Space Program 2015	Est. copies ≈ 6.7M–10.9M 3.6x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $73.8M–$198.5M after Steam's cut $134.2M–$305.4M before the cut	$39.99	145k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SpaceSimulation
SPORE™ 2008	Est. copies ≈ 3.8M–6.1M 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $20.6M–$55.5M after Steam's cut $37.5M–$85.3M before the cut	$19.99	72k reviews Very Positive	God GameOpen World
Abiotic Factor 2025	Est. copies ≈ 1.4M–2.2M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $13.2M–$35.5M after Steam's cut $24.0M–$54.6M before the cut	$34.99	57k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SurvivalOnline Co-Op