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How many copies did Square Shooter sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 298–484
$163–$438 after Steam's cut $297–$674 before Steam's cut
from 12 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Square Shooter and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Square Shooter's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 285–333k
best case 4.9M (Enter the Gungeon)
Games like Square Shooter

A typical game among these

≈ 285–333k copies

≈ $401–$5.9M after Steam's cut

from ~26 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Enter the Gungeon at ≈ 3.7M–6.1M copies, ≈ $15.4M–$41.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 23 reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action Roguelike (8 of 8) and Rogue-like (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Bullet Hell + Action Roguelike, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Nuclear Throne
2015
Est. copies
≈ 967k–1.6M
777x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.2M–$8.6M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.2M before Steam's cut
$11.99
20k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeRogue-like
Enter the Gungeon
2016
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.1M
3532x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$15.4M–$41.5M after Steam's cut $28.1M–$63.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
90k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Bullet HellAction Roguelike
Keyboard Warrior: Dreamstate
2022
Est. copies
≈ 347–564
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$667–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$6.99
14 reviews
Positive
Action RoguelikeArtificial Intelligence
Waves 2: Notorious
2015
Est. copies
≈ 16k–26k
13x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
327 reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessAction Roguelike
Haos
2021
Est. copies
≈ 223–363
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
9 reviews
9 user reviews
Action RoguelikeArena Shooter
Nebula's Descent
2023
Est. copies
≈ 198–322
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$217–$584 after Steam's cut $395–$899 before Steam's cut
$3.99
8 reviews
8 user reviews
Action RoguelikeTwin Stick Shooter
We're All Going To Die
2021
Est. copies
≈ 918–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
37 reviews
Mixed
ActionTop-Down Shooter
MechCrisis
2024
Est. copies
≈ 174–282
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$95–$255 after Steam's cut $173–$393 before Steam's cut
$1.99
7 reviews
7 user reviews
AdventureAction

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