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How many copies did PinballAdventure sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 50–81
$28–$73 after Steam's cut $50–$113 before Steam's cut
from 2 reviews (2 user reviews)
Only 2 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid PinballAdventure and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including PinballAdventure's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 36.5M–68.3M
best case 133.2M (Grand Theft Auto V Legacy)
Games like PinballAdventure

A typical game among these

≈ 36.5M–68.3M copies

≈ $85.1M–$194.1M after Steam's cut

from ~661k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Grand Theft Auto V Legacy at ≈ 101.5M–164.9M copies.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share First-Person (5 of 8) and Co-op (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Crime.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2006 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
≈ 31.0M–50.3M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
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$4.99
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Grand Theft Auto V Legacy
2015
Est. copies
≈ 101.5M–164.9M
3.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
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Free
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Very Positive
Open WorldAction
Don't Starve Together
2016
Est. copies
≈ 22.6M–36.8M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$93.2M–$250.7M after Steam's cut $169.5M–$385.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
544k reviews
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SurvivalOpen World Survival Craft
Garry's Mod
2006
Est. copies
≈ 80.0M–130.1M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$219.9M–$591.3M after Steam's cut $399.8M–$909.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
1.3M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SandboxModdable
Geometry Dash
2014
Est. copies
≈ 36.2M–58.9M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$49.7M–$133.7M after Steam's cut $90.4M–$205.7M before Steam's cut
$4.99
647k reviews
Very Positive
DifficultMusic
Portal 2
2011
Est. copies
≈ 29.5M–48.0M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$81.1M–$218.1M after Steam's cut $147.5M–$335.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
467k reviews
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Lethal Company
2023
Est. copies
≈ 12.7M–20.6M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$34.8M–$93.6M after Steam's cut $63.3M–$144.0M before Steam's cut
$9.99
511k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Online Co-OpHorror
PAYDAY 2
2013
Est. copies
≈ 42.7M–69.3M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$117.2M–$315.1M after Steam's cut $213.1M–$484.7M before Steam's cut
$9.99
675k reviews
Very Positive
Co-opAction

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