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How many copies did Checkmate Showdown sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 6k–10k
$33k–$88k after Steam's cut $59k–$135k before Steam's cut
from 240 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Checkmate Showdown and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Checkmate Showdown's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.2M–2.8M
best case 4.3M (MORDHAU)
Games like Checkmate Showdown

A typical game among these

≈ 2.2M–2.8M copies

≈ $37.5M–$48.7M after Steam's cut

from ~73k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: MORDHAU at ≈ 3.3M–5.3M copies, ≈ $26.9M–$72.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 16k reviews in their first month; the range was 12k to 48k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Fighting (6 of 8) and 2D Fighter (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Medieval + First-Person, priced around $30.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Street Fighter™ 6
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.8M–$58.7M after Steam's cut $39.7M–$90.3M before Steam's cut
$39.99
80k reviews
Very Positive
2D FighterFighting
DRAGON BALL: Sparking! ZERO
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.9M–$66.8M after Steam's cut $45.2M–$102.8M before Steam's cut
$49.99
73k reviews
Very Positive
AnimeAction
DRAGON BALL FighterZ
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$38.6M–$103.7M after Steam's cut $70.1M–$159.5M before Steam's cut
$59.99
77k reviews
Very Positive
FightingAnime
TEKKEN 8
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$19.8M–$53.4M after Steam's cut $36.1M–$82.1M before Steam's cut
$39.99
73k reviews
Mixed
Fighting3D Fighter
MORDHAU
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3.3M–5.3M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$26.9M–$72.3M after Steam's cut $48.9M–$111.3M before Steam's cut
$29.99
113k reviews
Mostly Positive
MedievalMultiplayer
KurtzPel
2019
Est. copies
≈ 978k–1.6M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
34k reviews
Mixed
AnimeFree to Play
Mortal Kombat 1
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$16.9M–$45.5M after Steam's cut $30.8M–$70.0M before Steam's cut
$49.99
50k reviews
Mostly Positive
FightingAction
Battlerite
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
59k reviews
Very Positive
PvPMultiplayer

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.