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How many copies did Hitmen Party sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 546–887
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
from 22 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Hitmen Party and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Hitmen Party's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.3M–7.3M
best case 10.3M (Batman™: Arkham Knight)
Games like Hitmen Party

A typical game among these

≈ 1.3M–7.3M copies

≈ $9.9M–$56.3M after Steam's cut

from ~78k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Batman™: Arkham Knight at ≈ 7.8M–12.7M copies, ≈ $43.0M–$115.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 13k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Detective (5 of 8) and Open World (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Superhero, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Batman: Arkham City - Game of the Year Edition
2012
Est. copies
≈ 5.0M–8.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$27.3M–$73.3M after Steam's cut $49.6M–$112.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
78k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ActionOpen World
Murdered: Soul Suspect
2014
Est. copies
≈ 976k–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.4M–$14.4M after Steam's cut $9.8M–$22.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
17k reviews
Very Positive
DetectiveAdventure
Batman: Arkham Asylum Game of the Year Edition
2010
Est. copies
≈ 5.5M–9.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$30.5M–$82.0M after Steam's cut $55.5M–$126.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
88k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ActionStealth
Batman: Arkham Asylum Game of the Year Edition
2010
Est. copies
≈ 758–1k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$4k–$11k after Steam's cut $8k–$17k before Steam's cut
$19.99
12 reviews
Positive
ActionBatman
Shadows of Doubt
2024
Est. copies
≈ 442k–719k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.0M–$8.2M after Steam's cut $5.5M–$12.6M before Steam's cut
$24.99
18k reviews
Very Positive
DetectiveImmersive Sim
Batman™: Arkham Knight
2015
Est. copies
≈ 7.8M–12.7M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$43.0M–$115.6M after Steam's cut $78.2M–$177.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
160k reviews
Very Positive
ActionOpen World
Shank the Cop
2021
Est. copies
≈ 25–40
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$28–$73 after Steam's cut $50–$112 before Steam's cut
$3.99
1 reviews
1 user reviews
4 Player LocalAction
Stealth Syndicate
2024
Est. copies
≈ 198–322
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$217–$584 after Steam's cut $395–$899 before Steam's cut
$3.99
8 reviews
8 user reviews
Social DeductionLocal Multiplayer

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