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How many copies did Pact of the Ancients - 3D Bara Survivors sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 322–524
$530–$1k after Steam's cut $964–$2k before Steam's cut
from 13 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Pact of the Ancients - 3D Bara Survivors and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Pact of the Ancients - 3D Bara Survivors's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 721k–2.0M
best case 10.1M (Hades)
Games like Pact of the Ancients - 3D Bara Survivors

A typical game among these

≈ 721k–2.0M copies

≈ $2.7M–$19.8M after Steam's cut

from ~37k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Hades at ≈ 7.7M–12.5M copies, ≈ $52.9M–$142.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 90 reviews in their first month; the range was 6 to 42k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Visual Novel (7 of 8) and Action Roguelike (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Rogue-lite, priced around $25.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

VA-11 Hall-A: Cyberpunk Bartender Action
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$6.7M–$17.9M after Steam's cut $12.1M–$27.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
39k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CyberpunkVisual Novel
missed messages.
2019
Est. copies
≈ 448k–728k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
16k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Free to PlayVisual Novel
Milk inside a bag of milk inside a bag of milk
2020
Est. copies
≈ 853k–1.4M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$349k–$939k after Steam's cut $635k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
$1.49
34k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney Trilogy
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.8M–$28.9M after Steam's cut $19.5M–$44.5M before Steam's cut
$29.99
45k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DetectiveVisual Novel
Hades
2020
Est. copies
≈ 7.7M–12.5M
8.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$52.9M–$142.2M after Steam's cut $96.1M–$218.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
310k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeRogue-lite
Monster Prom
2018
Est. copies
≈ 436k–708k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.9M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$5.9M before Steam's cut
$11.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
Dating SimComedy
Desta: The Memories Between
2023
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$19k–$50k after Steam's cut $34k–$77k before Steam's cut
$16.99
160 reviews
Mostly Positive
Misery Avenue
2025
Est. copies
≈ 149–242
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$163–$439 after Steam's cut $297–$676 before Steam's cut
$3.99
6 reviews
6 user reviews
Action RoguelikeLore-Rich

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