How much revenue did First Bite make?

$11k–$30k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did First Bite sell?

Q: How many copies did First Bite sell?

4k to 7k copies, based on its 166 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 4k–7k; $11k–$30k after Steam's cut $21k–$47k before Steam's cut; from 166 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid First Bite and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including First Bite's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 535k–1.2M

best case 1.3M (Tricolour Lovestory)

Games like First Bite

A typical game among these

≈ 535k–1.2M copies

≈ $1.9M–$3.6M after Steam's cut

from ~17k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Tricolour Lovestory at ≈ 966k–1.6M copies, ≈ $529k–$1.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 555 to 3k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Nudity (8 of 8) and Sexual Content (8 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Visual Novel + Dating Sim, priced around $2.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Winter Memories 2024	Est. copies ≈ 265k–430k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.5M–$3.9M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$6.0M before Steam's cut	$19.99	11k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Sexual ContentMature
NEKOPARA Vol. 0 2015	Est. copies ≈ 869k–1.4M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $715k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut	$2.99	18k reviews Very Positive	AnimeNudity
NEKOPARA Vol. 3 2017	Est. copies ≈ 414k–672k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.1M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.7M before Steam's cut	$9.99	12k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	HentaiSexual Content
NEKOPARA Vol. 1 2014	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.5M 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.5M before Steam's cut	$9.99	27k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	HentaiAnime
Living With Sister: Monochrome Fantasy 2024	Est. copies ≈ 389k–632k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.7M before Steam's cut	$12.99	16k reviews Mixed	Sexual ContentHentai
Tricolour Lovestory 2017	Est. copies ≈ 966k–1.6M 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $529k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $961k–$2.2M before Steam's cut	$1.99	28k reviews Very Positive	Visual NovelDating Sim
NEKOPARA Vol. 2 2016	Est. copies ≈ 535k–870k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.1M before Steam's cut	$9.99	13k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AnimeSexual Content
Summer Memories 2020	Est. copies ≈ 625k–1.0M 1.5x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.4M–$9.2M after Steam's cut $6.3M–$14.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	25k reviews Very Positive	Sexual ContentNudity