How much revenue did Tumblebugs make?

$18k–$48k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Tumblebugs sell?

Q: How many copies did Tumblebugs sell?

3k to 5k copies, based on its 131 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 3k–5k; $18k–$48k after Steam's cut $32k–$74k before Steam's cut; from 131 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Tumblebugs and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Tumblebugs's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–9k

best case 568k (Zuma Deluxe)

Games like Tumblebugs

A typical game among these

≈ 2k–9k copies

≈ $4k–$11k after Steam's cut

from ~93 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Zuma Deluxe at ≈ 433k–703k copies, ≈ $594k–$1.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 113 reviews in their first month; the range was 17 to 3k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Puzzle (8 of 8) and Match 3 (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Match 3 + Puzzle, priced around $12. The breakout hits carry Funny + Match 3 + Co-op; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2006 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Zuma Deluxe 2006	Est. copies ≈ 433k–703k 74x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $594k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut	$4.99	7k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Match 3Puzzle
SuiCats 2023	Est. copies ≈ 3k–4k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut	$1.99	108 reviews Very Positive	CasualArcade
Candy Blast 2016	Est. copies ≈ 8k–13k 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $11k–$30k after Steam's cut $20k–$46k before Steam's cut	$4.99	194 reviews Mixed	ClickerPuzzle
Atlantis: Pearls of the Deep 2016	Est. copies ≈ 3k–5k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $6k–$17k after Steam's cut $11k–$26k before Steam's cut	$6.99	78 reviews Very Positive	CasualIndie
Tiny Bubbles 2018	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $4k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$18k before Steam's cut	$9.99	52 reviews Very Positive	PuzzlePhysics
Fruit Salad 2023	Est. copies ≈ 8k–13k 3.4x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $4k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$18k before Steam's cut	$1.99	320 reviews Very Positive	Match 3Casual
POPUCOM 2025	Est. copies ≈ 105k–171k 45x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $577k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	4k reviews Very Positive	Co-opAdventure
Elemental Realms 2024	Est. copies ≈ 843–1k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $925–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut	$3.99	34 reviews Positive	CasualStrategy