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How many copies did Elemental Realms sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 843–1k
$925–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
from 34 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Elemental Realms and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Elemental Realms's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 273k–426k
best case 1.3M (Unpacking)
Games like Elemental Realms

A typical game among these

≈ 273k–426k copies

≈ $2.2M–$2.8M after Steam's cut

from ~9k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Unpacking at ≈ 1.0M–1.7M copies, ≈ $5.6M–$15.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 4k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (7 of 8) and Exploration (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle + Story Rich, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Pixel Graphics + Story Rich + Simulation; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Hidden Folks
2017
Est. copies
≈ 329k–534k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
10k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Hidden ObjectCasual
Duck Detective: The Secret Salami
2024
Est. copies
≈ 167k–271k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$458k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $832k–$1.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
DetectiveInvestigation
ATOM RPG: Post-apocalyptic indie game
2018
Est. copies
≈ 321k–522k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.5M before Steam's cut
$14.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
CRPGExploration
TUNIC
2022
Est. copies
≈ 464k–753k
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.8M–$10.3M after Steam's cut $7.0M–$15.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
ExplorationPuzzle
COCOON
2023
Est. copies
≈ 226k–367k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.2M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.4M before Steam's cut
$24.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
AdventurePuzzle
Terra Nil
2023
Est. copies
≈ 219k–356k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.1M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
NatureStrategy
Unpacking
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.7M
4.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$5.6M–$15.1M after Steam's cut $10.2M–$23.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
41k reviews
Very Positive
RelaxingCute
Figment
2017
Est. copies
≈ 196k–319k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureIndie

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