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How many copies did Hidden Folks sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 329k–534k
$1.4M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.6M before Steam's cut
from 10k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Hidden Folks and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Hidden Folks's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 292k–540k
best case 1.7M (Machinarium)
Games like Hidden Folks

A typical game among these

≈ 292k–540k copies

≈ $529k–$1.2M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Machinarium at ≈ 1.3M–2.1M copies, ≈ $7.2M–$19.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 920 reviews in their first month; the range was 321 to 1k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (7 of 8) and Point & Click (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle, priced around $17. The breakout hits carry 2D + Logic + Robots; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

A Little to the Left
2022
Est. copies
≈ 478k–777k
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.0M–$5.3M after Steam's cut $3.6M–$8.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleRelaxing
Machinarium
2009
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.2M–$19.5M after Steam's cut $13.2M–$30.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
21k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Point & ClickPuzzle
The Tiny Bang Story
2011
Est. copies
≈ 420k–683k
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$577k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.4M before Steam's cut
$4.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
Point & ClickPuzzle
TOEM: A Photo Adventure
2021
Est. copies
≈ 315k–512k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.7M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
13k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CozyWholesome
Minami Lane
2024
Est. copies
≈ 168k–273k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$230k–$619k after Steam's cut $419k–$952k before Steam's cut
$4.99
7k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CuteCasual
Behind the Frame: The Finest Scenery
2021
Est. copies
≈ 192k–312k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$685k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.8M before Steam's cut
$12.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
AtmosphericSingleplayer
Rusty Lake: Roots
2016
Est. copies
≈ 384k–624k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$421k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $766k–$1.7M before Steam's cut
$3.99
9k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzlePoint & Click
Rusty Lake Hotel
2016
Est. copies
≈ 443k–719k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$242k–$651k after Steam's cut $441k–$1.0M before Steam's cut
$1.99
11k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzlePoint & Click

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