How much revenue did Minami Lane make?

$230k–$619k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Minami Lane sell?

Q: How many copies did Minami Lane sell?

168k to 273k copies, based on its 7k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 168k–273k; $230k–$619k after Steam's cut $419k–$952k before Steam's cut; from 7k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Minami Lane and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Minami Lane's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 983k–1.3M

best case 57.1M (Stardew Valley)

Games like Minami Lane

A typical game among these

≈ 983k–1.3M copies

≈ $5.0M–$11.1M after Steam's cut

from ~33k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Stardew Valley at ≈ 43.5M–70.7M copies, ≈ $179.4M–$482.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the range was 951 to 30k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Simulation (6 of 8) and Life Sim (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Life Sim + Simulation, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Life Sim + Character Customization + Free to Play; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2016 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
The Sims™ 4 2020	Est. copies ≈ 5.0M–8.1M 6.1x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue Free	Free	201k reviews Very Positive	Life SimCharacter Customization
Stardew Valley 2016	Est. copies ≈ 43.5M–70.7M 32x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $179.4M–$482.4M after Steam's cut $326.2M–$742.1M before Steam's cut	$14.99	1.0M reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Farming SimPixel Graphics
Unpacking 2021	Est. copies ≈ 1.0M–1.7M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $5.6M–$15.1M after Steam's cut $10.2M–$23.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	41k reviews Very Positive	RelaxingCute
VA-11 Hall-A: Cyberpunk Bartender Action 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.6M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $6.7M–$17.9M after Steam's cut $12.1M–$27.6M before Steam's cut	$14.99	39k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	CyberpunkVisual Novel
Wobbly Life 2025	Est. copies ≈ 899k–1.5M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $6.2M–$16.6M after Steam's cut $11.2M–$25.5M before Steam's cut	$24.99	36k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AdventureMultiplayer
The Test 2020	Est. copies ≈ 499k–810k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $273k–$734k after Steam's cut $496k–$1.1M before Steam's cut	$1.99	20k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Choose Your Own AdventureSimulation
Dinkum 2025	Est. copies ≈ 725k–1.2M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.0M–$10.7M after Steam's cut $7.2M–$16.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	29k reviews Very Positive	Open World Survival CraftAgriculture
Chinese Parents 2018	Est. copies ≈ 823k–1.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $2.3M–$6.1M after Steam's cut $4.1M–$9.3M before Steam's cut	$9.99	27k reviews Very Positive	Life SimPsychological Horror