How much revenue did Tiny Bubbles make?

$4k–$12k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Tiny Bubbles sell?

Q: How many copies did Tiny Bubbles sell?

2k to 3k copies, based on its 52 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 2k–3k; $4k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$18k before Steam's cut; from 52 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Tiny Bubbles and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Tiny Bubbles's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 6k–18k

best case 498k (Webbed)

Games like Tiny Bubbles

A typical game among these

≈ 6k–18k copies

≈ $8k–$87k after Steam's cut

from ~352 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Webbed at ≈ 380k–617k copies, ≈ $1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 57 reviews in their first month; the range was 18 to 3k.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Puzzle (6 of 8) and Physics (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with 2D Platformer + Physics, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Pixel Graphics + 2D Platformer + Exploration; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Incredipede 2013	Est. copies ≈ 23k–37k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $63k–$170k after Steam's cut $115k–$261k before Steam's cut	$9.99	364 reviews Mostly Positive	BuildingPhysics
Webbed 2021	Est. copies ≈ 380k–617k 43x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.3M before Steam's cut	$9.99	15k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	2D PlatformerCute
Puttler 2025	Est. copies ≈ 7k–11k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $15k–$40k after Steam's cut $27k–$62k before Steam's cut	$7.99	273 reviews Very Positive	Mini GolfPhysics
Seedlings 2023	Est. copies ≈ 2k–4k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $7k–$18k after Steam's cut $12k–$27k before Steam's cut	$9.99	96 reviews Very Positive	AtmosphericNature
Paper Beast 2020	Est. copies ≈ 18k–29k 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $97k–$261k after Steam's cut $176k–$402k before Steam's cut	$19.99	712 reviews Very Positive	AdventureExploration
SuiCats 2023	Est. copies ≈ 3k–4k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut	$1.99	108 reviews Very Positive	CasualArcade
Fireboy & Watergirl: Fairy Tales 2021	Est. copies ≈ 9k–15k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $2k–$7k after Steam's cut $4k–$10k before Steam's cut	$0.99	364 reviews Very Positive	ActionAdventure
LumbearJack 2022	Est. copies ≈ 9k–14k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $31k–$84k after Steam's cut $57k–$129k before Steam's cut	$12.99	352 reviews Very Positive	CasualCute