How much revenue did Incursion: Reforged make?

$749–$2k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Incursion: Reforged sell?

Q: How many copies did Incursion: Reforged sell?

546 to 887 copies, based on its 22 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 546–887; $749–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut; from 22 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Incursion: Reforged and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Incursion: Reforged's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 450k–2.6M

best case 4.5M (Warhammer 40,000: Darktide)

Games like Incursion: Reforged

A typical game among these

≈ 450k–2.6M copies

≈ $11.2M–$50.7M after Steam's cut

from ~21k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Warhammer 40,000: Darktide at ≈ 3.5M–5.6M copies, ≈ $38.0M–$102.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 74 to 49k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share FPS (6 of 8) and Zombies (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Horror + Team-Based, priced around $40.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2009 to 2024, and 1 of the 7 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Ace of Spades: Battle Builder unreleased	Est. copies ≈ 449k–729k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	18k reviews Mixed	ActionMultiplayer
Ace Squared 2024	Est. copies ≈ 6k–10k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue Free	Free	254 reviews Very Positive	ActionMultiplayer
Warhammer 40,000: Darktide 2022	Est. copies ≈ 3.5M–5.6M 6.7x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $38.0M–$102.2M after Steam's cut $69.1M–$157.2M before Steam's cut	$39.99	139k reviews Mostly Positive	HorrorTeam-Based
Killing Floor 2009	Est. copies ≈ 4.4M–7.1M 3.3x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $24.0M–$64.4M after Steam's cut $43.6M–$99.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	69k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	FPSZombies
World War Z 2021	Est. copies ≈ 815k–1.3M 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $6.7M–$18.1M after Steam's cut $12.2M–$27.8M before Steam's cut	$29.99	33k reviews Very Positive	ZombiesMultiplayer
Day of Defeat: Source 2010	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.4M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $4.1M–$11.0M after Steam's cut $7.5M–$17.0M before Steam's cut	$9.99	24k reviews Very Positive	FPSWorld War II
Codename CURE 2017	Est. copies ≈ 569k–924k SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	17k reviews Very Positive	ZombiesShooter
Object N 2021	Est. copies ≈ 24k–39k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	975 reviews Very Positive	ActionFPS