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How many copies did Day of Defeat: Source sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.5M–2.4M
$4.1M–$11.0M after Steam's cut $7.5M–$17.0M before Steam's cut
from 24k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Day of Defeat: Source and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Day of Defeat: Source's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 7.3M–8.6M
best case 65.2M (War Thunder)
Games like Day of Defeat: Source

A typical game among these

≈ 7.3M–8.6M copies

≈ $88.8M–$128.6M after Steam's cut

from ~153k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: War Thunder at ≈ 49.7M–80.7M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 8k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 47k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share War (6 of 8) and FPS (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + Vehicular Combat. The breakout hits carry Simulation + Vehicular Combat + Combat; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

War Thunder
2013
Est. copies
≈ 49.7M–80.7M
5.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
786k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlaySimulation
Battlefield™ 1
2020
Est. copies
≈ 5.7M–9.2M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$62.3M–$167.4M after Steam's cut $113.2M–$257.5M before Steam's cut
$39.99
228k reviews
Very Positive
FPSMultiplayer
World of Warships
2017
Est. copies
≈ 5.4M–8.8M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
157k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayNaval Combat
Company of Heroes 2
2013
Est. copies
≈ 7.2M–11.6M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$39.4M–$105.8M after Steam's cut $71.6M–$162.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
113k reviews
Mostly Positive
StrategyWorld War II
Heroes & Generals
2016
Est. copies
≈ 5.9M–9.6M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
142k reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayWorld War II
World of Tanks Blitz
2016
Est. copies
≈ 6.4M–10.4M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
153k reviews
Mostly Positive
TanksFree to Play
Battlefield™ V
2020
Est. copies
≈ 6.7M–10.9M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$92.2M–$247.8M after Steam's cut $167.6M–$381.2M before Steam's cut
$49.99
270k reviews
Mostly Positive
FPSMultiplayer
Hell Let Loose
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$51.1M–$137.3M after Steam's cut $92.9M–$211.3M before Steam's cut
$49.99
150k reviews
Very Positive
ShooterRealistic

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