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How many copies did Green Alert sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 50–81
$28–$73 after Steam's cut $50–$113 before Steam's cut
from 2 reviews (2 user reviews)
Only 2 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Green Alert and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Green Alert's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 356k–726k
best case 7.6M (Far Cry® 5)
Games like Green Alert

A typical game among these

≈ 356k–726k copies

≈ $5.3M–$8.2M after Steam's cut

from ~13k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Far Cry® 5 at ≈ 5.8M–9.4M copies, ≈ $95.1M–$255.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 485 to 11k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Exploration (6 of 8) and Open World (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Action-Adventure, priced around $60. The breakout hits carry FPS + Shooter + Story Rich; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2018 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Ancestors: The Humankind Odyssey
2020
Est. copies
≈ 299k–486k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$3.3M–$8.8M after Steam's cut $6.0M–$13.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
12k reviews
Mostly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Far Cry® 5
2018
Est. copies
≈ 5.8M–9.4M
14x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$95.1M–$255.6M after Steam's cut $172.9M–$393.3M before Steam's cut
$59.99
190k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction-Adventure
Maneater
2021
Est. copies
≈ 669k–1.1M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.4M–$19.8M after Steam's cut $13.4M–$30.4M before Steam's cut
$39.99
27k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldDark Humor
Kena: Bridge of Spirits
2022
Est. copies
≈ 437k–711k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.8M–$12.9M after Steam's cut $8.7M–$19.9M before Steam's cut
$39.99
18k reviews
Very Positive
ActionAdventure
Ylands
2019
Est. copies
≈ 243k–396k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
8k reviews
Mixed
AdventureMultiplayer
FAR: Lone Sails
2018
Est. copies
≈ 806k–1.3M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.3M–$8.9M after Steam's cut $6.0M–$13.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
27k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AtmosphericAdventure
Alba: A Wildlife Adventure
2020
Est. copies
≈ 208k–339k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$974k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.0M before Steam's cut
$16.99
8k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CasualWholesome
WolfQuest: Anniversary Edition
2025
Est. copies
≈ 332k–539k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.7M–$7.4M after Steam's cut $5.0M–$11.3M before Steam's cut
$29.99
13k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Early AccessLife Sim

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