How much revenue did Dream Swing make?

$3k–$8k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Dream Swing sell?

Q: How many copies did Dream Swing sell?

4k to 6k copies, based on its 142 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 4k–6k; $3k–$8k after Steam's cut $5k–$12k before Steam's cut; from 142 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dream Swing and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dream Swing's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 6k–7k

best case 680k (Neon White)

Games like Dream Swing

A typical game among these

≈ 6k–7k copies

≈ $9k–$22k after Steam's cut

from ~194 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Neon White at ≈ 518k–842k copies, ≈ $3.6M–$9.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 77 reviews in their first month; the range was 31 to 4k.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share 3D Platformer (6 of 8) and FPS (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with FPS + 3D Platformer, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Platformer + Anime; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Neon White 2022	Est. copies ≈ 518k–842k 108x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $3.6M–$9.6M after Steam's cut $6.5M–$14.7M before Steam's cut	$24.99	21k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	FPS3D Platformer
SEUM: Speedrunners from Hell 2016	Est. copies ≈ 127k–207k 16x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $525k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $955k–$2.2M before Steam's cut	$14.99	3k reviews Very Positive	3D PlatformerParkour
Exertus 2019	Est. copies ≈ 9k–14k 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $5k–$13k after Steam's cut $9k–$20k before Steam's cut	$1.99	307 reviews Very Positive	ActionPrecision Platformer
Celerity 2021	Est. copies ≈ 3k–5k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $4k–$11k after Steam's cut $7k–$17k before Steam's cut	$4.99	121 reviews Mostly Positive	Parkour3D Platformer
Parkour Tag 2022	Est. copies ≈ 5k–9k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $12k–$31k after Steam's cut $21k–$48k before Steam's cut	$7.99	214 reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerParkour
Crystal Call 2021	Est. copies ≈ 5k–8k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue Free	Free	204 reviews Very Positive	ActionAction-Adventure
Hell of an Office 2024	Est. copies ≈ 5k–7k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $19k–$51k after Steam's cut $34k–$78k before Steam's cut	$14.99	184 reviews Very Positive	First-PersonAction
Celaria 2019	Est. copies ≈ 4k–7k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $7k–$18k after Steam's cut $12k–$28k before Steam's cut	$5.99	143 reviews Very Positive	ParkourPrecision Platformer