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How many copies did Hellfire 1988: An Oregon Story sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 496–806
$135–$363 after Steam's cut $246–$559 before Steam's cut
from 20 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Hellfire 1988: An Oregon Story and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Hellfire 1988: An Oregon Story's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 90–106
best case 150k (Highway Blossoms)
Games like Hellfire 1988: An Oregon Story

A typical game among these

≈ 90–106 copies

≈ $184–$217 after Steam's cut

from ~3 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Highway Blossoms at ≈ 115k–186k copies, ≈ $409k–$1.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 203 reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Visual Novel (7 of 8) and Anime (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Investigation + Time Management, priced around $14. The breakout hits carry Indie + LGBTQ+ + Romance; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Rough Justice: '84
2023
Est. copies
≈ 3k–4k
36x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$15k–$40k after Steam's cut $27k–$61k before Steam's cut
$19.99
109 reviews
Mostly Positive
InvestigationTime Management
Highway Blossoms
2016
Est. copies
≈ 115k–186k
918x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$409k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $744k–$1.7M before Steam's cut
$12.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
LGBTQ+Visual Novel
A Summer's End - Hong Kong 1986
2020
Est. copies
≈ 55k–90k
745x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$229k–$615k after Steam's cut $416k–$946k before Steam's cut
$14.99
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
IndieCasual
Chuhou Joutai 2: Paraided!
2021
Est. copies
≈ 74–121
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$102–$275 after Steam's cut $185–$423 before Steam's cut
$4.99
3 reviews
3 user reviews
ActionArcade
Chuhou Joutai 3: Three Nights of Scarlet Abscess
2022
Est. copies
≈ 74–121
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$102–$275 after Steam's cut $185–$423 before Steam's cut
$4.99
3 reviews
3 user reviews
ActionArcade
Bahnsen Knights
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
30x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$6k–$17k after Steam's cut $11k–$26k before Steam's cut
$9.99
91 reviews
Very Positive
Choose Your Own AdventureInteractive Fiction
Look Inside
2024
Est. copies
≈ 99–161
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$163–$439 after Steam's cut $297–$675 before Steam's cut
$5.99
4 reviews
4 user reviews
Visual NovelDetective
The Halloween Incident
2024
Est. copies
≈ 50–81
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$92–$246 after Steam's cut $167–$378 before Steam's cut
$6.66
2 reviews
2 user reviews
SimulationPoint & Click

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