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How many copies did Highway Blossoms sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 115k–186k
$409k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $744k–$1.7M before Steam's cut
from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Highway Blossoms and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Highway Blossoms's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 586–2k
best case 9k (National Park Girls: Love Our Parks Edition)
Games like Highway Blossoms

A typical game among these

≈ 586–2k copies

≈ $1k–$11k after Steam's cut

from ~28 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: National Park Girls: Love Our Parks Edition at ≈ 7k–11k copies, ≈ $39k–$104k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 6 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 22.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Visual Novel (8 of 8) and LGBTQ+ (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Visual Novel + Anime, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Dead Man's Rest
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$11k after Steam's cut $8k–$17k before Steam's cut
$11.99
51 reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelLGBTQ+
ATOM GRRRL!!
2016
Est. copies
≈ 915–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$10k before Steam's cut
$9.99
22 reviews
Mixed
CasualIndie
National Park Girls: Love Our Parks Edition
2019
Est. copies
≈ 7k–11k
8.9x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$39k–$104k after Steam's cut $71k–$160k before Steam's cut
$19.99
245 reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelAnime
Hawaii Detective: Killing of a Krypto King
2024
Est. copies
≈ 149–242
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$327–$880 after Steam's cut $595–$1k before Steam's cut
$7.99
6 reviews
6 user reviews
DetectiveLGBTQ+
Ninja Girl and the Mysterious Army of Urban Legend Monsters! ~Hunt of the Headless Horseman~
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
3.1x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$11k–$29k after Steam's cut $20k–$45k before Steam's cut
$15.99
86 reviews
Very Positive
AnimeVisual Novel
Cafe Deux Femmes
2020
Est. copies
≈ 546–887
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$749–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$4.99
22 reviews
Mixed
Female ProtagonistLGBTQ+
僕と彼の危険な同居生活
2022
Est. copies
≈ 818–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$11k after Steam's cut $8k–$18k before Steam's cut
$18.99
33 reviews
Mostly Negative
Canvas Menagerie
2024
Est. copies
≈ 149–242
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$614–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$14.99
6 reviews
6 user reviews
LGBTQ+Visual Novel

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