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How many copies did ATOM GRRRL!! sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 915–1k
$3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$10k before Steam's cut
from 22 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid ATOM GRRRL!! and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including ATOM GRRRL!!'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 73k–80k
best case 328k (BAD END THEATER)
Games like ATOM GRRRL!!

A typical game among these

≈ 73k–80k copies

≈ $55k–$216k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: BAD END THEATER at ≈ 250k–406k copies, ≈ $687k–$1.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 972 reviews in their first month; the range was 329 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Visual Novel (6 of 8) and Anime (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Visual Novel, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Visual Novel + Choices Matter + Cute; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2018 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

DRAMAtical Murder
2021
Est. copies
≈ 124k–202k
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$682k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
5k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
LGBTQ+Sexual Content
BAD END THEATER
2021
Est. copies
≈ 250k–406k
4.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$687k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.8M before Steam's cut
$9.99
10k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Multiple EndingsVisual Novel
AI: The Somnium Files
2019
Est. copies
≈ 272k–442k
4.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelAnime
彷徨之街 The Street of Adrift
2024
Est. copies
≈ 58k–94k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$191k–$514k after Steam's cut $348k–$791k before Steam's cut
$11.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
Female ProtagonistStory Rich
Marco & The Galaxy Dragon
2020
Est. copies
≈ 196k–319k
3.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
8k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelAnime
寄甡 Symbiotic Love
2019
Est. copies
≈ 48k–78k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$92k–$248k after Steam's cut $167k–$381k before Steam's cut
$6.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
IndieAdventure
ЕСТЬ ДВА СТУЛА
2018
Est. copies
≈ 60k–98k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$16k–$44k after Steam's cut $30k–$68k before Steam's cut
$0.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationSexual Content
Aventura Copilului Albastru și Urât
2021
Est. copies
≈ 63k–102k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$34k–$92k after Steam's cut $62k–$142k before Steam's cut
$1.99
3k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HentaiSexual Content

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