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How many copies did Heartwood Heroes sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$5k–$14k after Steam's cut $9k–$21k before Steam's cut
from 50 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Heartwood Heroes and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Heartwood Heroes's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 153k–330k
best case 2.3M (Pummel Party)
Games like Heartwood Heroes

A typical game among these

≈ 153k–330k copies

≈ $917k–$3.0M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Pummel Party at ≈ 1.8M–2.9M copies, ≈ $7.3M–$19.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 23 reviews in their first month; the range was 15 to 143.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Board Game (5 of 8) and Party (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with 4 Player Local + Board Game, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Jackbox Party Pack
2014
Est. copies
≈ 108k–175k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$741k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.1M before Steam's cut
$24.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
CasualTrivia
Pummel Party
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
13x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$7.3M–$19.6M after Steam's cut $13.2M–$30.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
58k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerFunny
Dice Crypt
2024
Est. copies
≈ 546–887
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$749–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$4.99
22 reviews
Positive
Board GameParty Game
THE GAME OF LIFE 2
2020
Est. copies
≈ 115k–187k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$396k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $719k–$1.6M before Steam's cut
$12.49
5k reviews
Mostly Positive
Board GameMultiplayer
Verse Surf
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
55 reviews
Very Positive
CasualParty
The Jackbox Party Pack 3
2016
Est. copies
≈ 278k–451k
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.9M–$5.1M after Steam's cut $3.5M–$7.9M before Steam's cut
$24.99
7k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Local MultiplayerTrivia
Drawful 2
2016
Est. copies
≈ 174k–282k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$477k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $868k–$2.0M before Steam's cut
$9.99
4k reviews
Mostly Positive
Local MultiplayerParty
Party Panic
2017
Est. copies
≈ 119k–194k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$558k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before Steam's cut
$16.99
3k reviews
Mostly Positive
Multiplayer4 Player Local

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