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How many copies did 蔚蓝月下的回忆~SAPPHIRE MOON-FOREVER MEMORIES sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 8k–13k
$4k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$19k before Steam's cut
from 330 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid 蔚蓝月下的回忆~SAPPHIRE MOON-FOREVER MEMORIES and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including 蔚蓝月下的回忆~SAPPHIRE MOON-FOREVER MEMORIES's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 104k–219k
best case 315k (Aliya: Timelink)
Games like 蔚蓝月下的回忆~SAPPHIRE MOON-FOREVER MEMORIES

A typical game among these

≈ 104k–219k copies

≈ $341k–$509k after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Aliya: Timelink at ≈ 240k–390k copies, ≈ $197k–$530k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 408 reviews in their first month; the range was 113 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Interactive Fiction (8 of 8) and Word Game (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Interactive Fiction + Visual Novel, priced around $3.
When they shipped
Only 1 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Vampires' Melody
2020
Est. copies
≈ 142k–231k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$156k–$419k after Steam's cut $284k–$645k before Steam's cut
$3.99
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Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelCasual
Lay a Beauty to Rest: The Darkness Peach Blossom Spring
2021
Est. copies
≈ 175k–284k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$672k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.8M before Steam's cut
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AdventureMystery
Aliya: Timelink
2024
Est. copies
≈ 240k–390k
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
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$197k–$530k after Steam's cut $359k–$816k before Steam's cut
$2.99
10k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RPGInteractive Fiction
Vampires' Melody 2
2023
Est. copies
≈ 26k–41k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 50k–100k
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$28k–$75k after Steam's cut $51k–$116k before Steam's cut
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1k reviews
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Interactive FictionVisual Novel
恋爱绮谭 不存在的真相
2022
Est. copies
≈ 55k–89k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$211k–$568k after Steam's cut $384k–$873k before Steam's cut
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Aonatsu Line
2022
Est. copies
≈ 25k–41k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$242k–$652k after Steam's cut $441k–$1.0M before Steam's cut
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CasualAdventure
恋爱绮谭~不存在的夏天~
2020
Est. copies
≈ 73k–119k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$181k–$487k after Steam's cut $329k–$749k before Steam's cut
$8.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelMystery
候鸟
2023
Est. copies
≈ 99k–160k
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Est. revenue
$298k–$801k after Steam's cut $542k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
$10.99
4k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Word Game2D Platformer

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