How much revenue did ARMS DOLL make?

$5k–$14k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did ARMS DOLL sell?

Q: How many copies did ARMS DOLL sell?

992 to 2k copies, based on its 40 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 992–2k; $5k–$14k after Steam's cut $9k–$21k before Steam's cut; from 40 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid ARMS DOLL and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including ARMS DOLL's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 684–3k

best case 55k (ZONE OF THE ENDERS THE 2nd RUNNER : M∀RS / アヌビスゾーン・オブ・エンダーズ : マーズ)

Games like ARMS DOLL

A typical game among these

≈ 684–3k copies

≈ $2k–$20k after Steam's cut

from ~27 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: ZONE OF THE ENDERS THE 2nd RUNNER : M∀RS / アヌビスゾーン・オブ・エンダーズ : マーズ at ≈ 42k–68k copies, ≈ $345k–$927k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 19 reviews in their first month; the range was 5 to 500.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share VR (8 of 8) and Mechs (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with VR + Mechs, priced around $27.
When they shipped: 4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
IRON REBELLION 2024	Est. copies ≈ 21k–35k 32x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $147k–$395k after Steam's cut $267k–$607k before Steam's cut	$24.99	861 reviews Very Positive	VRMechs
ZONE OF THE ENDERS THE 2nd RUNNER : M∀RS / アヌビスゾーン・オブ・エンダーズ : マーズ 2018	Est. copies ≈ 42k–68k 51x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $345k–$927k after Steam's cut $627k–$1.4M before Steam's cut	$29.99	1k reviews Mostly Positive	ActionMechs
War Robots VR: The Skirmish 2017	Est. copies ≈ 27k–44k 29x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	784 reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlayAction
The IOTA Project 2017	Est. copies ≈ 3k–6k 3.7x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue Free	Free	99 reviews Mixed	SimulationFree to Play
Metal Gunner 2020	Est. copies ≈ 521–846 SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut	$9.99	21 reviews Mostly Positive	VRAction
Silicon War:Blitz 2024	Est. copies ≈ 347–564 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $476–$1k after Steam's cut $866–$2k before Steam's cut	$4.99	14 reviews Positive	VRAction
OVRLRD 2024	Est. copies ≈ 3k–4k 3.7x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $21k–$56k after Steam's cut $38k–$85k before Steam's cut	$29.99	101 reviews Very Positive	SimulationVR
Mecha Force VR 2025	Est. copies ≈ 670–1k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue Free	Free	27 reviews Mostly Positive	VRRobots