How much revenue did FALL GIRLS make?

$12k–$31k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did FALL GIRLS sell?

Q: How many copies did FALL GIRLS sell?

6k to 10k copies, based on its 243 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 6k–10k; $12k–$31k after Steam's cut $21k–$48k before Steam's cut; from 243 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid FALL GIRLS and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including FALL GIRLS's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 166k–869k

best case 9.9M (NARAKA: BLADEPOINT)

Games like FALL GIRLS

A typical game among these

≈ 166k–869k copies

≈ $103k–$188k after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: NARAKA: BLADEPOINT at ≈ 7.5M–12.2M copies.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 33k reviews in their first month; the range was 850 to 45k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Battle Royale (6 of 8) and Survival (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Battle Royale + Martial Arts.
When they shipped: None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2023. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Rules Of Survival 2018	Est. copies ≈ 151k–246k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	5k reviews Mixed	Battle RoyaleAction
Immortal Soul: Black Survival 2019	Est. copies ≈ 157k–254k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	5k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlaySurvival
Taboos: Cracks 2019	Est. copies ≈ 51k–82k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $28k–$74k after Steam's cut $50k–$115k before Steam's cut	$1.99	2k reviews Mostly Positive	Sexual ContentNudity
Bean Battles 2018	Est. copies ≈ 308k–501k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $84k–$225k after Steam's cut $152k–$347k before Steam's cut	$0.99	10k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerAction
NARAKA: BLADEPOINT 2021	Est. copies ≈ 7.5M–12.2M 39x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue Free	Free	303k reviews Mostly Positive	Battle RoyaleMultiplayer
Cyber Hunter 2020	Est. copies ≈ 269k–437k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	11k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlayBattle Royale
GENSOU Skydrift 2019	Est. copies ≈ 18k–30k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $120k–$323k after Steam's cut $218k–$497k before Steam's cut	$23.99	632 reviews Very Positive	Combat RacingRacing
Eternal Return 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1.7M–2.8M 8.9x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	69k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlayAnime