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How many copies did Hidden Western sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$67k–$180k after Steam's cut $121k–$276k before Steam's cut
from 49 reviews (Mostly Negative)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Hidden Western and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Hidden Western's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 571k–1.7M
best case 2.4M (Microsoft Flight Simulator (2020) 40th Anniversary Edition)
Games like Hidden Western

A typical game among these

≈ 571k–1.7M copies

≈ $2.5M–$16.6M after Steam's cut

from ~33k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Microsoft Flight Simulator (2020) 40th Anniversary Edition at ≈ 1.8M–2.9M copies, ≈ $29.9M–$80.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 73k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Auto Battler (5 of 8) and Simulation (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + Flight, priced around $60.
When they shipped
Only 3 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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2.2x vs typical
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