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How many copies did Four Winds Fantasy sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 198–322
$272–$733 after Steam's cut $495–$1k before Steam's cut
from 8 reviews (8 user reviews)
Only 8 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Four Winds Fantasy and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Four Winds Fantasy's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.5M–2.5M
best case 7.2M (Dying Light 2 Stay Human: Reloaded Edition)
Games like Four Winds Fantasy

A typical game among these

≈ 1.5M–2.5M copies

≈ $12.4M–$55.6M after Steam's cut

from ~52k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Action RPG (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Dying Light 2 Stay Human: Reloaded Edition at ≈ 5.5M–8.9M copies, ≈ $90.1M–$242.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 10k reviews in their first month; the range was 77 to 72k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action RPG (4 of 8) and Hack and Slash (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Co-op, priced around $60.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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SteamSpy 1M–2M
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Dying Light 2 Stay Human: Reloaded Edition
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4.2x vs typical
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1.6x vs typical
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too small to compare
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too small to compare
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