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How many copies did Dragon Age™: The Veilguard sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
$18.5M–$49.6M after Steam's cut $33.6M–$76.3M before Steam's cut
from 45k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dragon Age™: The Veilguard and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dragon Age™: The Veilguard's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.0M–2.2M
best case 2.3M (The Elder Scrolls IV: Oblivion Remastered)
Games like Dragon Age™: The Veilguard

A typical game among these

≈ 2.0M–2.2M copies

≈ $24.0M–$39.0M after Steam's cut

from ~67k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Fantasy (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: The Elder Scrolls IV: Oblivion Remastered at ≈ 1.7M–2.8M copies, ≈ $24.0M–$64.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 6 to 48k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Fantasy (3 of 8) and LGBTQ+ (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Fantasy, priced around $50.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2026, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Eternal Strands
2025
Est. copies
≈ 44k–72k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$365k–$982k after Steam's cut $664k–$1.5M before Steam's cut
$29.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Action-AdventureFemale Protagonist
The Confines Of The Crown
2015
Est. copies
≈ 13k–20k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$52k–$140k after Steam's cut $94k–$215k before Steam's cut
$14.99
258 reviews
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Visual NovelFemale Protagonist
GreedFall: The Dying World
2026
Est. copies
≈ 38k–62k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$524k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $953k–$2.2M before Steam's cut
$49.99
2k reviews
Mixed
RPGAdventure
GUILTY GEAR -STRIVE-
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$18.3M–$49.1M after Steam's cut $33.2M–$75.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
67k reviews
Very Positive
Fighting2D Fighter
The Elder Scrolls IV: Oblivion Remastered
2025
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.0M–$64.5M after Steam's cut $43.6M–$99.3M before Steam's cut
$49.99
70k reviews
Mostly Positive
RPGOpen World
The Play's the Thing
2021
Est. copies
≈ 322–524
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$530–$1k after Steam's cut $964–$2k before Steam's cut
$5.99
13 reviews
Positive
Choose Your Own AdventureInteractive Fiction
Royal Alchemist
2020
Est. copies
≈ 8k–13k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$44k–$118k after Steam's cut $80k–$182k before Steam's cut
$19.99
323 reviews
Very Positive
RPGOtome
WorldBox - God Simulator
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.8M–$20.9M after Steam's cut $14.1M–$32.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
57k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SandboxGod Game

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