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How many copies did start;again sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 5k–8k
$8k–$21k after Steam's cut $14k–$33k before Steam's cut
from 193 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid start;again and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including start;again's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 165k–439k
best case 1.7M (Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney Trilogy)
Games like start;again

A typical game among these

≈ 165k–439k copies

≈ $2.2M–$3.9M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney Trilogy at ≈ 1.3M–2.1M copies, ≈ $10.8M–$28.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 660 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Visual Novel (8 of 8) and Story Rich (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Detective + Visual Novel, priced around $30.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney Trilogy
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
6.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.8M–$28.9M after Steam's cut $19.5M–$44.5M before Steam's cut
$29.99
45k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DetectiveVisual Novel
The Cosmic Wheel Sisterhood
2023
Est. copies
≈ 159k–258k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$786k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.3M before Steam's cut
$17.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
Interactive FictionFemale Protagonist
The House in Fata Morgana
2016
Est. copies
≈ 284k–462k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$2.0M–$5.3M after Steam's cut $3.6M–$8.1M before Steam's cut
$24.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
Apollo Justice: Ace Attorney Trilogy
2024
Est. copies
≈ 111k–181k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.1M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.3M before Steam's cut
$49.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureVisual Novel
Until Then
2024
Est. copies
≈ 484k–786k
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$2.7M–$7.1M after Steam's cut $4.8M–$11.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
19k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelPixel Graphics
GNOSIA
2022
Est. copies
≈ 128k–208k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$878k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.6M before Steam's cut
$24.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelAnime
AI: The Somnium Files
2019
Est. copies
≈ 272k–442k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelAnime
Ace Attorney Investigations Collection
2024
Est. copies
≈ 121k–196k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.5M before Steam's cut
$39.99
5k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AdventureInvestigation

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