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How many copies did Sunrise's Order sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–3k
$9k–$23k after Steam's cut $16k–$36k before Steam's cut
from 71 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Sunrise's Order and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Sunrise's Order's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 906k–1.2M
best case 57.1M (Stardew Valley)
Games like Sunrise's Order

A typical game among these

≈ 906k–1.2M copies

≈ $6.8M–$10.5M after Steam's cut

from ~29k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Stardew Valley at ≈ 43.5M–70.7M copies, ≈ $179.4M–$482.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 18k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 34k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Farming Sim (7 of 8) and Agriculture (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Farming Sim + Life Sim, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Pixel Graphics + Multiplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2026, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Stardew Valley
2016
Est. copies
≈ 43.5M–70.7M
36x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$179.4M–$482.4M after Steam's cut $326.2M–$742.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Farming SimPixel Graphics
My Time at Portia
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.5M–$28.3M after Steam's cut $19.1M–$43.5M before Steam's cut
$29.99
44k reviews
Very Positive
Life SimRPG
Coral Island
2023
Est. copies
≈ 690k–1.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$5.7M–$15.3M after Steam's cut $10.4M–$23.6M before Steam's cut
$29.99
28k reviews
Very Positive
Farming SimLife Sim
Fields of Mistria
2026
Est. copies
≈ 886k–1.4M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.4M–$9.2M after Steam's cut $6.2M–$14.1M before Steam's cut
$13.99
36k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Early AccessFarming Sim
Dinkum
2025
Est. copies
≈ 725k–1.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.0M–$10.7M after Steam's cut $7.2M–$16.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
29k reviews
Very Positive
Open World Survival CraftAgriculture
Littlewood
2020
Est. copies
≈ 169k–275k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$699k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
Pixel GraphicsLife Sim
Farm Together
2018
Est. copies
≈ 672k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.7M–$9.9M after Steam's cut $6.7M–$15.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
22k reviews
Very Positive
AgricultureMultiplayer
Plantera
2016
Est. copies
≈ 247k–401k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$203k–$545k after Steam's cut $369k–$839k before Steam's cut
$2.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
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