How much revenue did Vengeful Guardian: Moonrider make?

$63k–$169k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Vengeful Guardian: Moonrider sell?

Q: How many copies did Vengeful Guardian: Moonrider sell?

13k to 22k copies, based on its 541 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 13k–22k; $63k–$169k after Steam's cut $114k–$259k before Steam's cut; from 541 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Vengeful Guardian: Moonrider and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Vengeful Guardian: Moonrider's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3k–782k

best case 1.2M (BlazBlue Entropy Effect)

Games like Vengeful Guardian: Moonrider

A typical game among these

≈ 3k–782k copies

≈ $15k–$2.7M after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is 2D Platformer (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: BlazBlue Entropy Effect at ≈ 908k–1.5M copies, ≈ $5.0M–$13.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 214 reviews in their first month; the range was 6 to 14k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share 2D Platformer (4 of 8) and Action-Adventure (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Action-Adventure, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2010 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Darksiders™ 2010	Est. copies ≈ 818k–1.3M 8.9x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	13k reviews Very Positive	ActionAdventure
BlazBlue Entropy Effect 2024	Est. copies ≈ 908k–1.5M 25x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $5.0M–$13.4M after Steam's cut $9.1M–$20.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	37k reviews Very Positive	Action RoguelikeAction-Adventure
ENSLAVED™: Odyssey to the West™ Premium Edition 2013	Est. copies ≈ 522k–848k 5.7x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.9M–$7.7M after Steam's cut $5.2M–$11.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	8k reviews Very Positive	AdventureAction
Jaded 2025	Est. copies ≈ 52k–85k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $72k–$193k after Steam's cut $131k–$297k before Steam's cut	$4.99	2k reviews Very Positive	Precision Platformer2D Platformer
Corrupt 2023	Est. copies ≈ 322–524 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $884–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut	$9.99	13 reviews Mostly Positive	ActionAction-Adventure
Kandria 2023	Est. copies ≈ 3k–4k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $15k–$40k after Steam's cut $27k–$62k before Steam's cut	$19.99	110 reviews Very Positive	2D PlatformerExploration
Heroine Anthem Zero 2 : Scalescars Oath 2022	Est. copies ≈ 20k–33k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $110k–$297k after Steam's cut $201k–$456k before Steam's cut	$19.99	809 reviews Very Positive	Female ProtagonistRPG
DEAD DAYLIGHT 2025	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut	$2.99	73 reviews Very Positive	AdventureAction