How much revenue did Thunder Ray make?

$32k–$87k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Thunder Ray sell?

Q: How many copies did Thunder Ray sell?

8k to 13k copies, based on its 316 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 8k–13k; $32k–$87k after Steam's cut $59k–$134k before Steam's cut; from 316 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Thunder Ray and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Thunder Ray's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 158k–356k

best case 267k (Lethal League Blaze)

Games like Thunder Ray

A typical game among these

≈ 158k–356k copies

≈ $2.2M–$2.3M after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Lethal League Blaze at ≈ 204k–331k copies, ≈ $1.1M–$3.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 25 reviews in their first month; the range was 21 to 209.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Sports (8 of 8) and 2D Fighter (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with 2D Fighter + Sports, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Lethal League Blaze 2018	Est. copies ≈ 204k–331k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.1M–$3.0M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	7k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ActionIndie
Lethal League 2014	Est. copies ≈ 339k–552k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.3M–$3.5M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.4M before Steam's cut	$13.99	6k reviews Very Positive	FightingLocal Multiplayer
Action Arcade Wrestling 2019	Est. copies ≈ 5k–7k too small to compare SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $19k–$51k after Steam's cut $35k–$79k before Steam's cut	$14.99	160 reviews Mostly Positive	ActionArcade
Rushdown Revolt 2020	Est. copies ≈ 37k–60k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	1k reviews Mostly Positive	ActionAdventure
Soccertron 2015	Est. copies ≈ 4k–6k too small to compare SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $3k–$8k after Steam's cut $5k–$12k before Steam's cut	$2.99	73 reviews Mostly Positive	SportsFootball (Soccer)
Guts And Goals 2021	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $5k–$13k after Steam's cut $9k–$20k before Steam's cut	$14.99	48 reviews Positive	SportsAction
Blocky Ball 2021	Est. copies ≈ 2k–4k too small to compare SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue Free	Free	91 reviews Very Positive	CasualSports
Volley Pals 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k too small to compare SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut	$4.99	45 reviews Positive	2D FighterLocal Multiplayer