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How many copies did Carnival of Gods: Oppression sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 322–524
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
from 13 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Carnival of Gods: Oppression and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Carnival of Gods: Oppression's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 431k–1.2M
best case 9.3M (Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition)
Games like Carnival of Gods: Oppression

A typical game among these

≈ 431k–1.2M copies

≈ $3.7M–$12.1M after Steam's cut

from ~16k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition at ≈ 7.1M–11.5M copies, ≈ $87.8M–$236.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 6k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 8k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Turn-Based Tactics (7 of 8) and Turn-Based Strategy (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Tactical RPG + Turn-Based Strategy, priced around $45.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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2021
Est. copies
≈ 454k–737k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.1M–$8.4M after Steam's cut $5.7M–$12.9M before Steam's cut
$24.99
18k reviews
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Party-Based RPGChoices Matter
Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition
2017
Est. copies
≈ 7.1M–11.5M
13x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$87.8M–$236.1M after Steam's cut $159.6M–$363.2M before Steam's cut
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2023
Est. copies
≈ 341k–555k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
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$2.3M–$6.3M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
StrategySingleplayer
Songs of Conquest
2024
Est. copies
≈ 337k–547k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.8M–$7.5M after Steam's cut $5.0M–$11.5M before Steam's cut
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Local MultiplayerTurn-Based Tactics
Minion Masters
2019
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≈ 1.9M–3.1M
4.1x vs typical
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Free
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PvETrading Card Game
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Est. copies
≈ 303k–492k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.5M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.9M before Steam's cut
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Marvel's Midnight Suns
2022
Est. copies
≈ 609k–990k
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$10.0M–$27.0M after Steam's cut $18.3M–$41.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
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SuperheroTurn-Based Tactics
TROUBLESHOOTER: Abandoned Children
2020
Est. copies
≈ 246k–399k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.5M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.0M before Steam's cut
$24.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
CRPGTactical RPG

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