How much revenue did Wildermyth make?

$3.1M–$8.4M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Wildermyth sell?

Q: How many copies did Wildermyth sell?

454k to 737k copies, based on its 18k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 454k–737k; $3.1M–$8.4M after Steam's cut $5.7M–$12.9M before Steam's cut; from 18k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Wildermyth and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Wildermyth's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 766k–2.4M

best case 9.3M (Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition)

Games like Wildermyth

A typical game among these

≈ 766k–2.4M copies

≈ $9.6M–$12.3M after Steam's cut

from ~26k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition at ≈ 7.1M–11.5M copies, ≈ $87.8M–$236.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Story Rich (7 of 8) and Party-Based RPG (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Tactical RPG + Turn-Based Strategy, priced around $45. The breakout hits carry Tactical RPG + Turn-Based Strategy + Exploration; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2009 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Dragon Age: Origins - Ultimate Edition 2010	Est. copies ≈ 2.0M–3.2M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $16.4M–$44.2M after Steam's cut $29.9M–$67.9M before Steam's cut	$29.99	32k reviews Very Positive	RPGFantasy
STAR WARS™ Knights of the Old Republic™ II - The Sith Lords™ 2012	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.7M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.5M–$12.2M after Steam's cut $8.2M–$18.7M before Steam's cut	$9.99	26k reviews Very Positive	RPGStory Rich
OCTOPATH TRAVELER II 2023	Est. copies ≈ 436k–708k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $7.2M–$19.3M after Steam's cut $13.1M–$29.7M before Steam's cut	$59.99	18k reviews Very Positive	RPGTurn-Based
Wasteland 3 2020	Est. copies ≈ 557k–904k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $6.1M–$16.5M after Steam's cut $11.1M–$25.3M before Steam's cut	$39.99	22k reviews Very Positive	CRPGCharacter Customization
STAR WARS™ Knights of the Old Republic™ 2009	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.5M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $5.9M–$15.9M after Steam's cut $10.7M–$24.5M before Steam's cut	$9.99	34k reviews Very Positive	RPGSci-fi
Pathfinder: Kingmaker — Enhanced Plus Edition 2018	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $5.9M–$15.8M after Steam's cut $10.7M–$24.3M before Steam's cut	$19.99	35k reviews Mostly Positive	RPGParty-Based RPG
Pillars of Eternity II: Deadfire 2018	Est. copies ≈ 611k–993k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.4M–$9.0M after Steam's cut $6.1M–$13.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	20k reviews Very Positive	RPGParty-Based RPG
Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition 2017	Est. copies ≈ 7.1M–11.5M 7.9x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $87.8M–$236.1M after Steam's cut $159.6M–$363.2M before Steam's cut	$44.99	206k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Tactical RPGRPG