How much revenue did SAMURAI MAIDEN make?

$314k–$845k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did SAMURAI MAIDEN sell?

Q: How many copies did SAMURAI MAIDEN sell?

19k to 31k copies, based on its 768 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 19k–31k; $314k–$845k after Steam's cut $571k–$1.3M before Steam's cut; from 768 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid SAMURAI MAIDEN and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including SAMURAI MAIDEN's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 401k–524k

best case 5.9M (Celeste)

Games like SAMURAI MAIDEN

A typical game among these

≈ 401k–524k copies

≈ $3.2M–$4.6M after Steam's cut

from ~14k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Story Rich (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Celeste at ≈ 4.5M–7.4M copies, ≈ $24.9M–$67.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 8k reviews in their first month; the range was 621 to 17k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Story Rich (4 of 8) and Choices Matter (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Precision Platformer + Platformer, priced around $17. The breakout hits carry Open World; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Celeste 2018	Est. copies ≈ 4.5M–7.4M 11x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $24.9M–$67.0M after Steam's cut $45.3M–$103.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	149k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Precision PlatformerDifficult
missed messages. 2019	Est. copies ≈ 448k–728k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	16k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Free to PlayVisual Novel
House Party 2022	Est. copies ≈ 383k–623k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $2.6M–$7.1M after Steam's cut $4.8M–$10.9M before Steam's cut	$24.99	15k reviews Very Positive	NudityMature
VA-11 Hall-A: Cyberpunk Bartender Action 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.6M 2.8x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $6.7M–$17.9M after Steam's cut $12.1M–$27.6M before Steam's cut	$14.99	39k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	CyberpunkVisual Novel
Coffee Talk 2020	Est. copies ≈ 314k–510k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.1M–$3.0M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.6M before Steam's cut	$12.99	13k reviews Very Positive	ConversationPixel Graphics
觅长生 2023	Est. copies ≈ 797k–1.3M 2.3x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.3M–$8.8M after Steam's cut $6.0M–$13.6M before Steam's cut	$14.99	32k reviews Very Positive	RPGOpen World
Far Cry® New Dawn 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.0M–1.6M 2.5x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $11.1M–$30.0M after Steam's cut $20.3M–$46.1M before Steam's cut	$39.99	35k reviews Mostly Positive	Open WorldFPS
Ruined King: A League of Legends Story™ 2021	Est. copies ≈ 281k–457k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.3M–$6.2M after Steam's cut $4.2M–$9.6M before Steam's cut	$29.99	11k reviews Very Positive	RPGTurn-Based Combat