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How many copies did Far Cry® New Dawn sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.0M–1.6M
$11.1M–$30.0M after Steam's cut $20.3M–$46.1M before Steam's cut
from 35k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Far Cry® New Dawn and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Far Cry® New Dawn's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 12.3M–25.3M
best case 56.0M (Rust)
Games like Far Cry® New Dawn

A typical game among these

≈ 12.3M–25.3M copies

≈ $141.6M–$374.4M after Steam's cut

from ~346k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Rust at ≈ 42.7M–69.3M copies, ≈ $469.3M–$1261.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 153k reviews in their first month; the range was 19k to 182k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Co-op (6 of 8) and Open World (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Crafting, priced around $40.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Call of Duty®: Black Ops III
2015
Est. copies
≈ 11.4M–18.6M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$188.7M–$507.3M after Steam's cut $343.1M–$780.5M before Steam's cut
$59.99
234k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerZombies
Arma 3
2013
Est. copies
≈ 18.7M–30.4M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$154.1M–$414.3M after Steam's cut $280.2M–$637.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
296k reviews
Very Positive
MilitaryAction
Schedule I
2025
Est. copies
≈ 7.9M–12.8M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$43.4M–$116.6M after Steam's cut $78.8M–$179.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
318k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Rust
2018
Est. copies
≈ 42.7M–69.3M
4.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$469.3M–$1261.8M after Steam's cut $853.3M–$1941.3M before Steam's cut
$39.99
1.4M reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalCrafting
Sea of Thieves: 2026 Edition
2020
Est. copies
≈ 9.3M–15.1M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$101.9M–$273.9M after Steam's cut $185.2M–$421.4M before Steam's cut
$39.99
374k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerOpen World
Borderlands 2
2012
Est. copies
≈ 19.8M–32.1M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$217.3M–$584.2M after Steam's cut $395.1M–$898.8M before Steam's cut
$39.99
313k reviews
Very Positive
LootShooter
Destiny 2
2019
Est. copies
≈ 19.1M–31.0M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
663k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayOpen World
Raft
2022
Est. copies
≈ 9.4M–15.3M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$51.7M–$139.0M after Steam's cut $94.0M–$213.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
379k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalMultiplayer

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.