How much revenue did Arsilon make?

$163–$439 after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Arsilon sell?

Q: How many copies did Arsilon sell?

99 to 161 copies, based on its 4 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 99–161; $163–$439 after Steam's cut $297–$675 before Steam's cut; from 4 reviews (4 user reviews); Only 4 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Arsilon and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Arsilon's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 227k–598k

best case 930k (Sonic Frontiers)

Games like Arsilon

A typical game among these

≈ 227k–598k copies

≈ $1.3M–$5.7M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Sonic Frontiers at ≈ 709k–1.2M copies, ≈ $7.8M–$21.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 11k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share 3D Platformer (8 of 8) and Exploration (8 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World + 3D Platformer, priced around $40.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Kena: Bridge of Spirits 2022	Est. copies ≈ 437k–711k 2.5x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.8M–$12.9M after Steam's cut $8.7M–$19.9M before Steam's cut	$39.99	18k reviews Very Positive	ActionAdventure
Journey To The Savage Planet 2021	Est. copies ≈ 172k–279k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$5.9M before Steam's cut	$29.99	7k reviews Very Positive	AdventureExploration
Sonic Frontiers 2022	Est. copies ≈ 709k–1.2M 4.1x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $7.8M–$21.0M after Steam's cut $14.2M–$32.2M before Steam's cut	$39.99	29k reviews Very Positive	Great SoundtrackOpen World
September 7th 2023	Est. copies ≈ 76k–123k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $145k–$391k after Steam's cut $264k–$601k before Steam's cut	$6.99	3k reviews Very Positive	HorrorExploration
Dragons On Desktop 2022	Est. copies ≈ 546–887 too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $149–$400 after Steam's cut $270–$615 before Steam's cut	$0.99	22 reviews Positive	CasualSimulation
Pseudoregalia 2023	Est. copies ≈ 473k–769k 2.7x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $779k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut	$5.99	19k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	3D PlatformerMetroidvania
Grow Home 2015	Est. copies ≈ 275k–447k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $604k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut	$7.99	6k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldAdventure
Rooftops & Alleys: The Parkour Game 2025	Est. copies ≈ 174k–283k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.2M–$3.2M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$4.9M before Steam's cut	$24.99	7k reviews Very Positive	SimulationParkour