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How many copies did Herald of Havoc sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 7k–11k
$33k–$88k after Steam's cut $60k–$136k before Steam's cut
from 283 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Herald of Havoc and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Herald of Havoc's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 754k–1.4M
best case 8.0M (ULTRAKILL)
Games like Herald of Havoc

A typical game among these

≈ 754k–1.4M copies

≈ $4.8M–$9.0M after Steam's cut

from ~18k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: ULTRAKILL at ≈ 6.1M–9.9M copies, ≈ $50.2M–$134.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 5k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 22k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share FPS (8 of 8) and Shooter (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Boomer Shooter + Fast-Paced, priced around $30. The breakout hits carry Fast-Paced + Blood + Character Action Game; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2007 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Quake
2007
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.9M–$7.7M after Steam's cut $5.2M–$11.8M before Steam's cut
$9.99
16k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSClassic
Trepang2
2023
Est. copies
≈ 489k–795k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.7M–$12.7M after Steam's cut $8.6M–$19.5M before Steam's cut
$34.99
20k reviews
Very Positive
ShooterSingleplayer
DOOM: The Dark Ages
2025
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.9M
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$15.8M–$42.4M after Steam's cut $28.7M–$65.2M before Steam's cut
$49.99
46k reviews
Very Positive
ActionFPS
DOOM + DOOM II
2007
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–3.0M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.1M–$13.6M after Steam's cut $9.2M–$20.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
29k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSClassic
Warhammer 40,000: Boltgun
2023
Est. copies
≈ 454k–738k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.7M–$7.4M after Steam's cut $5.0M–$11.4M before Steam's cut
$21.99
18k reviews
Very Positive
Boomer ShooterFPS
ULTRAKILL
2020
Est. copies
≈ 6.1M–9.9M
13x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$50.2M–$134.8M after Steam's cut $91.2M–$207.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
245k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Boomer ShooterFast-Paced
Serious Sam II
2012
Est. copies
≈ 905k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.5M–$6.7M after Steam's cut $4.5M–$10.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
ActionFPS
Quake II
2007
Est. copies
≈ 659k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.9M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.5M before Steam's cut
$9.99
10k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSClassic

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