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How many copies did Meekanoid sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 645–1k
$353–$949 after Steam's cut $642–$1k before Steam's cut
from 26 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Meekanoid and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Meekanoid's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.7M–2.3M
best case 2.3M (NBA 2K20)
Games like Meekanoid

A typical game among these

≈ 1.7M–2.3M copies

≈ $9.4M–$12.0M after Steam's cut

from ~47k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: NBA 2K20 at ≈ 1.7M–2.8M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 24 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 15k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action Roguelike (6 of 8) and Platformer (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Basketball + Sports.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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Action RoguelikeAction-Adventure
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Abiko The Miko
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≈ 99–161
too small to compare
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4 user reviews
Action RoguelikeExploration
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Risk of Rain (2013)
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≈ 1.9M–3.1M
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too small to compare
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too small to compare
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Mixed

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.