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How many copies did Kuggs sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 521–846
$428–$1k after Steam's cut $779–$2k before Steam's cut
from 21 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Kuggs and predicted how it would do from its 3 similar games. Every figure here, including Kuggs's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 155k–330k
best case 239k (Prince of Persia The Lost Crown)
Games like Kuggs

A typical game among these

≈ 155k–330k copies

≈ $1.3M–$2.3M after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 3 of the similar games are hits.

This comes from a small set of games, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: Prince of Persia The Lost Crown at ≈ 182k–295k copies, ≈ $1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Metroidvania (3 of 3) and Action-Adventure (2 of 3).
The winners
Winners here lead with Metroidvania + Exploration, priced around $30.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of the 3 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

You Have to Win the Game
2014
Est. copies
≈ 321k–521k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
6k reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaFree to Play
Prince of Persia The Lost Crown
2024
Est. copies
≈ 182k–295k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.2M before Steam's cut
$29.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaExploration
Aeterna Noctis
2021
Est. copies
≈ 54k–87k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$443k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $805k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
MetroidvaniaDifficult

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