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How big is You Have to Win the Game?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 321k–521k
from 6k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid You Have to Win the Game and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including You Have to Win the Game's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1k–7k
best case 22k (Janosik)
Games like You Have to Win the Game

A typical game among these

≈ 1k–7k copies

≈ $16k–$17k after Steam's cut

from ~67 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Janosik at ≈ 17k–28k copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 30 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 95.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Metroidvania (7 of 8) and Platformer (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Platformer + 2D Platformer.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Hargrave
2020
Est. copies
≈ 7k–11k
4.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
266 reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayAdventure
Thibalryn
2019
Est. copies
≈ 979–2k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
34 reviews
Positive
Free to PlayMetroidvania
Necrosphere64
2024
Est. copies
≈ 992–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
40 reviews
Positive
Janosik
2020
Est. copies
≈ 17k–28k
10x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
689 reviews
Very Positive
ActionAdventure
Because its hot! Prologue
2021
Est. copies
≈ 223–363
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
9 reviews
9 user reviews
AdventureCasual
The Witch & The 66 Mushrooms
2020
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
3.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$10k–$26k after Steam's cut $17k–$39k before Steam's cut
$6.99
200 reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaSide Scroller
The Ramsey
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$8k–$23k after Steam's cut $15k–$35k before Steam's cut
$17.99
69 reviews
Very Positive
ActionAdventure
External Visions
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
64 reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayIndie

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