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How big is External Visions?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 2k–4k
from 64 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid External Visions and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including External Visions's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.6M–5.4M
best case 25.6M (Hollow Knight)
Games like External Visions

A typical game among these

≈ 2.6M–5.4M copies

≈ $27.7M–$63.0M after Steam's cut

from ~70k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Hollow Knight at ≈ 19.5M–31.6M copies, ≈ $80.3M–$215.8M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Metroidvania (7 of 8) and Platformer (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Metroidvania + Souls-like, priced around $15.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2020. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Dead Cells
2018
Est. copies
≈ 5.6M–9.1M
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$38.4M–$103.2M after Steam's cut $69.8M–$158.8M before Steam's cut
$24.99
184k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AdventureAction Roguelike
Blasphemous
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$18.8M–$50.7M after Steam's cut $34.3M–$78.0M before Steam's cut
$34.99
68k reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaPixel Graphics
Ori and the Blind Forest: Definitive Edition
2016
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$16.4M–$44.1M after Steam's cut $29.8M–$67.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
72k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AtmosphericGreat Soundtrack
Hollow Knight
2017
Est. copies
≈ 19.5M–31.6M
8.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$80.3M–$215.8M after Steam's cut $145.9M–$332.0M before Steam's cut
$14.99
566k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Ori and the Will of the Wisps
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.9M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$30.0M–$80.6M after Steam's cut $54.5M–$124.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
147k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
BeautifulMetroidvania
Bloodstained: Ritual of the Night
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$13.2M–$35.6M after Steam's cut $24.1M–$54.7M before Steam's cut
$39.99
42k reviews
Very Positive
Rain World
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$13.6M–$36.7M after Steam's cut $24.8M–$56.4M before Steam's cut
$24.99
58k reviews
Very Positive
DifficultAtmospheric
Ori and the Blind Forest
2015
Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
60k reviews
Very Positive
Great SoundtrackAtmospheric

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