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How many copies did Ori and the Will of the Wisps sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3.6M–5.9M
$30.0M–$80.6M after Steam's cut $54.5M–$124.0M before Steam's cut
from 147k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Ori and the Will of the Wisps and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Ori and the Will of the Wisps's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 530k–1.3M
best case 3.8M (GRIS)
Games like Ori and the Will of the Wisps

A typical game among these

≈ 530k–1.3M copies

≈ $4.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut

from ~14k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: GRIS at ≈ 2.9M–4.8M copies, ≈ $12.1M–$32.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Platformer (7 of 8) and Metroidvania (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Beautiful + Female Protagonist, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

GRIS
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.8M
7.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.1M–$32.5M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$50.0M before Steam's cut
$14.99
96k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
BeautifulAtmospheric
Ori and the Blind Forest: Definitive Edition
2016
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.8M
5.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$16.4M–$44.1M after Steam's cut $29.8M–$67.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
72k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AtmosphericGreat Soundtrack
Skul: The Hero Slayer
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
4.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.9M–$21.2M after Steam's cut $14.3M–$32.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
58k reviews
Very Positive
IndieAction
Neva
2024
Est. copies
≈ 266k–432k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$3.9M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
AdventurePlatformer
Dust: An Elysian Tail
2013
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.0M–$13.4M after Steam's cut $9.0M–$20.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
19k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ActionPlatformer
FEZ
2013
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's cut $5.1M–$11.7M before Steam's cut
$9.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
PlatformerIndie
The Messenger
2018
Est. copies
≈ 404k–656k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.2M–$6.0M after Steam's cut $4.0M–$9.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
RetroPlatformer
Child of Light
2014
Est. copies
≈ 756k–1.2M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.1M–$8.4M after Steam's cut $5.7M–$12.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
RPGFantasy

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