How much revenue did Neva make?

$1.5M–$3.9M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Neva sell?

Q: How many copies did Neva sell?

266k to 432k copies, based on its 11k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 266k–432k; $1.5M–$3.9M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.0M before Steam's cut; from 11k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Neva and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Neva's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 9.4M–24.0M

best case 129.3M (Terraria)

Games like Neva

A typical game among these

≈ 9.4M–24.0M copies

≈ $74.1M–$148.8M after Steam's cut

from ~270k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Female Protagonist (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Terraria at ≈ 98.5M–160.1M copies, ≈ $270.6M–$727.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Female Protagonist (3 of 8) and Platformer (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Sandbox, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Open World Survival Craft + Sandbox + Survival; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2007 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Hollow Knight 2017	Est. copies ≈ 19.5M–31.6M 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $80.3M–$215.8M after Steam's cut $145.9M–$332.0M before Steam's cut	$14.99	566k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Metroidvania Souls-like
Dead Cells 2018	Est. copies ≈ 5.6M–9.1M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $38.4M–$103.2M after Steam's cut $69.8M–$158.8M before Steam's cut	$24.99	184k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AdventureAction Roguelike
Tomb Raider Game of the Year 2013	Est. copies ≈ 17.1M–27.8M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $94.0M–$252.8M after Steam's cut $171.0M–$388.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	271k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AdventureAction
It Takes Two 2021	Est. copies ≈ 6.7M–10.9M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $73.7M–$198.3M after Steam's cut $134.1M–$305.0M before Steam's cut	$39.99	270k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Co-opMultiplayer
Terraria 2011	Est. copies ≈ 98.5M–160.1M 5.8x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $270.6M–$727.5M after Steam's cut $492.0M–$1119.3M before Steam's cut	$9.99	1.6M reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open World Survival CraftSandbox
Portal 2007	Est. copies ≈ 12.6M–20.5M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $34.6M–$93.1M after Steam's cut $63.0M–$143.3M before Steam's cut	$9.99	199k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	PuzzlePuzzle-Platformer
Portal 2 2011	Est. copies ≈ 29.5M–48.0M 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $81.1M–$218.1M after Steam's cut $147.5M–$335.6M before Steam's cut	$9.99	467k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Platformer Puzzle
Cuphead 2017	Est. copies ≈ 7.6M–12.4M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $41.9M–$112.7M after Steam's cut $76.2M–$173.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	222k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	DifficultCartoon