How much revenue did FEZ make?

$2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did FEZ sell?

Q: How many copies did FEZ sell?

1.0M to 1.7M copies, based on its 16k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 1.0M–1.7M; $2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's cut $5.1M–$11.7M before Steam's cut; from 16k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid FEZ and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including FEZ's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.9M–5.2M

best case 4.8M (Ori and the Will of the Wisps)

Games like FEZ

A typical game among these

≈ 3.9M–5.2M copies

≈ $27.6M–$40.5M after Steam's cut

from ~75k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Ori and the Will of the Wisps at ≈ 3.6M–5.9M copies, ≈ $30.0M–$80.6M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Platformer (6 of 8) and Dark (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Beautiful + Metroidvania, priced around $30.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2011 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Ori and the Blind Forest: Definitive Edition 2016	Est. copies ≈ 3.0M–4.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $16.4M–$44.1M after Steam's cut $29.8M–$67.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	72k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AtmosphericGreat Soundtrack
Little Nightmares 2017	Est. copies ≈ 4.0M–6.5M 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $22.1M–$59.3M after Steam's cut $40.1M–$91.3M before Steam's cut	$19.99	117k reviews Very Positive	HorrorAtmospheric
Ori and the Blind Forest 2015	Est. copies ≈ 2.9M–4.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	60k reviews Very Positive	Great SoundtrackAtmospheric
INSIDE 2016	Est. copies ≈ 3.2M–5.2M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $21.8M–$58.7M after Steam's cut $39.7M–$90.3M before Steam's cut	$24.99	76k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	2.5DPuzzle-Platformer
GRIS 2018	Est. copies ≈ 2.9M–4.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $12.1M–$32.5M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$50.0M before Steam's cut	$14.99	96k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	BeautifulAtmospheric
LIMBO 2011	Est. copies ≈ 3.9M–6.4M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $13.5M–$36.3M after Steam's cut $24.5M–$55.8M before Steam's cut	$12.49	62k reviews Very Positive	Puzzle-PlatformerIndie
BattleBlock Theater® 2014	Est. copies ≈ 4.1M–6.6M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $16.8M–$45.3M after Steam's cut $30.6M–$69.6M before Steam's cut	$14.99	73k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Co-op Platformer
Ori and the Will of the Wisps 2020	Est. copies ≈ 3.6M–5.9M 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $30.0M–$80.6M after Steam's cut $54.5M–$124.0M before Steam's cut	$29.99	147k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	BeautifulMetroidvania