How many copies did Thibalryn sell?

979 to 2k copies, based on its 34 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

How much revenue did Thibalryn make?

Thibalryn is free to play, so there is no copy-sales revenue to estimate.

How big is Thibalryn?

Estimated players who have it: ≈ 979–2k; from 34 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Thibalryn and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Thibalryn's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 11k–90k

best case 586k (Supraland)

Games like Thibalryn

A typical game among these

≈ 11k–90k copies

≈ $29k–$590k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Supraland at ≈ 446k–725k copies, ≈ $2.5M–$6.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 271 reviews in their first month; the range was 30 to 1k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Exploration (7 of 8) and Metroidvania (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Puzzle-Platformer + Exploration, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2009 to 2024, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Promenade 2024	Est. copies ≈ 23k–37k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $124k–$334k after Steam's cut $226k–$514k before Steam's cut	$19.99	912 reviews Very Positive	AdventureCute
Treasures of the Aegean 2021	Est. copies ≈ 3k–5k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $16k–$43k after Steam's cut $29k–$66k before Steam's cut	$19.99	117 reviews Very Positive	ExplorationSide Scroller
Pine Hearts 2024	Est. copies ≈ 3k–5k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $11k–$29k after Steam's cut $20k–$45k before Steam's cut	$12.99	122 reviews Very Positive	WholesomeExploration
Lunnye Devitsy 2009	Est. copies ≈ 10k–17k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $14k–$38k after Steam's cut $25k–$58k before Steam's cut	$4.99	161 reviews Mixed	ExplorationMetroidvania
Supraland Six Inches Under 2022	Est. copies ≈ 107k–173k 3.3x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $587k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	4k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Puzzle-PlatformerMetroidvania
Isles of Sea and Sky 2024	Est. copies ≈ 41k–67k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $227k–$611k after Steam's cut $413k–$940k before Steam's cut	$19.99	2k reviews Very Positive	MetroidvaniaRetro
Supraland 2019	Est. copies ≈ 446k–725k 12x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.5M–$6.6M after Steam's cut $4.5M–$10.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	16k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Puzzle-PlatformerExploration
Little Noah: Scion of Paradise 2022	Est. copies ≈ 56k–91k 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $231k–$621k after Steam's cut $420k–$955k before Steam's cut	$14.99	2k reviews Very Positive	Action RoguelikeExploration