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How many copies did Isles of Sea and Sky sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 41k–67k
$227k–$611k after Steam's cut $413k–$940k before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Isles of Sea and Sky and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Isles of Sea and Sky's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 410k–1.4M
best case 5.9M (Celeste)
Games like Isles of Sea and Sky

A typical game among these

≈ 410k–1.4M copies

≈ $2.9M–$8.1M after Steam's cut

from ~14k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Celeste at ≈ 4.5M–7.4M copies, ≈ $24.9M–$67.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 10k reviews in their first month; the range was 5k to 11k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Platformer (6 of 8) and Metroidvania (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Precision Platformer + Platformer, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

ANIMAL WELL
2024
Est. copies
≈ 612k–995k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.3M after Steam's cut $7.6M–$17.4M before Steam's cut
$24.99
25k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MetroidvaniaExploration
FEZ
2013
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's cut $5.1M–$11.7M before Steam's cut
$9.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
PlatformerIndie
Celeste
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4.5M–7.4M
11x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.9M–$67.0M after Steam's cut $45.3M–$103.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
149k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SANABI
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.6M–$12.4M after Steam's cut $8.4M–$19.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
45k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Pixel GraphicsStory Rich
You Have to Win the Game
2014
Est. copies
≈ 321k–521k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
6k reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaFree to Play
Lunacid
2023
Est. copies
≈ 287k–467k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$3.0M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.6M before Steam's cut
$13.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
Dungeon CrawlerDark Fantasy
Owlboy
2016
Est. copies
≈ 255k–415k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
Pixel GraphicsAdventure
Axiom Verge
2015
Est. copies
≈ 324k–526k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.2M–$7.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaIndie

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