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How many copies did ANIMAL WELL sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 612k–995k
$4.2M–$11.3M after Steam's cut $7.6M–$17.4M before Steam's cut
from 25k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid ANIMAL WELL and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including ANIMAL WELL's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 979k–1.4M
best case 6.6M (STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™)
Games like ANIMAL WELL

A typical game among these

≈ 979k–1.4M copies

≈ $6.1M–$9.2M after Steam's cut

from ~18k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Exploration (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™ at ≈ 5.1M–8.2M copies, ≈ $55.6M–$149.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Exploration (4 of 8) and Platformer (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action-Adventure + Souls-like, priced around $27. The breakout hits carry Atmospheric + Story Rich; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™
2019
Est. copies
≈ 5.1M–8.2M
9.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$55.6M–$149.5M after Steam's cut $101.1M–$230.0M before Steam's cut
$39.99
176k reviews
Very Positive
Action-AdventureSouls-like
INSIDE
2016
Est. copies
≈ 3.2M–5.2M
4.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.8M–$58.7M after Steam's cut $39.7M–$90.3M before Steam's cut
$24.99
76k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
2.5DPuzzle-Platformer
GRIS
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.8M
5.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.1M–$32.5M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$50.0M before Steam's cut
$14.99
96k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
BeautifulAtmospheric
TUNIC
2022
Est. copies
≈ 464k–753k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.8M–$10.3M after Steam's cut $7.0M–$15.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
ExplorationPuzzle
Ori and the Will of the Wisps
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.9M
8.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$30.0M–$80.6M after Steam's cut $54.5M–$124.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
147k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
BeautifulMetroidvania
FEZ
2013
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's cut $5.1M–$11.7M before Steam's cut
$9.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
PlatformerIndie
Ori and the Blind Forest
2015
Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.8M
3.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
60k reviews
Very Positive
Great SoundtrackAtmospheric
Antichamber
2013
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.2M–$16.6M after Steam's cut $11.2M–$25.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
18k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleFirst-Person

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