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How many copies did Little Noah: Scion of Paradise sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 56k–91k
$231k–$621k after Steam's cut $420k–$955k before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Little Noah: Scion of Paradise and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Little Noah: Scion of Paradise's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 11k–141k
best case 1.6M (Rogue Legacy)
Games like Little Noah: Scion of Paradise

A typical game among these

≈ 11k–141k copies

≈ $75k–$1.1M after Steam's cut

from ~787 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Rogue Legacy at ≈ 1.2M–1.9M copies, ≈ $4.9M–$13.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 249 reviews in their first month; the range was 191 to 711.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action Roguelike (5 of 8) and Metroidvania (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Roguevania + Platformer, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

SuperEpic: The Entertainment War
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$16k–$43k after Steam's cut $29k–$67k before Steam's cut
$17.99
113 reviews
Mixed
RoguevaniaIndie
9 Years of Shadows
2023
Est. copies
≈ 84k–136k
4.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$460k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $836k–$1.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Mostly Positive
Mark of the Deep
2025
Est. copies
≈ 9k–14k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$48k–$130k after Steam's cut $88k–$200k before Steam's cut
$19.99
355 reviews
Mostly Positive
PiratesAction-Adventure
Eagle Island Twist
2019
Est. copies
≈ 7k–11k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$18k–$49k after Steam's cut $33k–$75k before Steam's cut
$9.99
229 reviews
Mostly Positive
ArcadeColorful
Sundered®: Eldritch Edition
2017
Est. copies
≈ 178k–290k
6.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$979k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
RoguevaniaMetroidvania
Mr. Sun's Hatbox
2023
Est. copies
≈ 13k–21k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$53k–$143k after Steam's cut $97k–$220k before Steam's cut
$14.99
521 reviews
Very Positive
ActionOnline Co-Op
Gunbrella
2023
Est. copies
≈ 26k–42k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$108k–$289k after Steam's cut $196k–$445k before Steam's cut
$14.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
Side ScrollerExploration
Rogue Legacy
2013
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
24x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$4.9M–$13.2M after Steam's cut $8.9M–$20.3M before Steam's cut
$14.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
RoguevaniaPlatformer

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