How much revenue did Path of the Midnight Sun make?

$36k–$97k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Path of the Midnight Sun sell?

Q: How many copies did Path of the Midnight Sun sell?

7k to 11k copies, based on its 265 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 7k–11k; $36k–$97k after Steam's cut $66k–$149k before Steam's cut; from 265 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Path of the Midnight Sun and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Path of the Midnight Sun's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 165k–229k

best case 655k (The Test)

Games like Path of the Midnight Sun

A typical game among these

≈ 165k–229k copies

≈ $2.6M–$3.2M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: The Test at ≈ 499k–810k copies, ≈ $273k–$734k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 911 to 5k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Story Rich (7 of 8) and JRPG (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Story Rich, priced around $60. The breakout hits carry Pixel Graphics; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
OCTOPATH TRAVELER II 2023	Est. copies ≈ 436k–708k 3.4x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $7.2M–$19.3M after Steam's cut $13.1M–$29.7M before Steam's cut	$59.99	18k reviews Very Positive	RPGTurn-Based
OCTOPATH TRAVELER™ 2019	Est. copies ≈ 498k–809k 3.3x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $8.2M–$22.1M after Steam's cut $14.9M–$34.0M before Steam's cut	$59.99	17k reviews Very Positive	RPGJRPG
The Test 2020	Est. copies ≈ 499k–810k 3.9x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $273k–$734k after Steam's cut $496k–$1.1M before Steam's cut	$1.99	20k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Choose Your Own AdventureSimulation
Romancing SaGa 2: Revenge of the Seven 2024	Est. copies ≈ 120k–194k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $1.6M–$4.4M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.8M before Steam's cut	$49.99	5k reviews Very Positive	JRPGTactical RPG
Shin Megami Tensei V: Vengeance 2024	Est. copies ≈ 321k–521k 2.5x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $5.3M–$14.2M after Steam's cut $9.6M–$21.9M before Steam's cut	$59.99	13k reviews Very Positive	JRPGRPG
LISA: The Painful 2014	Est. copies ≈ 851k–1.4M 2.9x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $4.7M–$12.6M after Steam's cut $8.5M–$19.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	15k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Dark HumorRPG
Shin Megami Tensei III Nocturne HD Remaster 2021	Est. copies ≈ 131k–214k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $1.8M–$4.9M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.5M before Steam's cut	$49.99	5k reviews Very Positive	JRPGRPG
Tales of Symphonia 2016	Est. copies ≈ 217k–352k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.2M–$3.2M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$4.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	5k reviews Very Positive	JRPGRPG