How much revenue did Lit Up make?

$557–$1k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Lit Up sell?

Q: How many copies did Lit Up sell?

1k to 2k copies, based on its 41 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 1k–2k; $557–$1k after Steam's cut $1k–$2k before Steam's cut; from 41 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Lit Up and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Lit Up's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k

best case 66k (United heist)

Games like Lit Up

A typical game among these

≈ 2k copies

≈ $1k–$2k after Steam's cut

from ~51 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: United heist at ≈ 50k–81k copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 27 reviews in their first month; the range was 8 to 665.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Puzzle (8 of 8) and Mystery Dungeon (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Puzzle + Mystery Dungeon, priced around $6. The breakout hits carry Adventure + Co-op Campaign + Mystery; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2023. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Sneaky Rat 2022	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $679–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut	$1.99	50 reviews Very Positive	SokobanPuzzle
United heist 2023	Est. copies ≈ 50k–81k 40x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue Free	Free	2k reviews Very Positive	PuzzleCo-op Campaign
Dungeons of Dreadrock 2022	Est. copies ≈ 14k–22k 11x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $23k–$61k after Steam's cut $41k–$94k before Steam's cut	$5.99	556 reviews Very Positive	IndieOld School
Mining Cats 2021	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $787–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut	$1.99	58 reviews Mostly Positive	MiningTrains
Slither Link 2018	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $422–$1k after Steam's cut $767–$2k before Steam's cut	$0.99	51 reviews Very Positive	PuzzleLogic
Sokocat - Dungeon 2021	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $978–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut	$2.99	48 reviews Positive	SokobanMystery Dungeon
Dungeon Slime 2: Puzzle in the Dark Forest 2021	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $679–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut	$1.99	50 reviews Very Positive	PuzzleCute
EXIT - The Curse of Ophir 2022	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $5k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$19k before Steam's cut	$7.99	85 reviews Very Positive	AdventurePuzzle